Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.178953 0.207854 0.239977 0.278337 0.322922 0.373132 0.434011
2025-04-06 0.130715 0.168279 0.214520 0.275686 0.354579 0.453074 0.585659
2025-04-13 0.106137 0.146664 0.200189 0.276170 0.381498 0.522739 0.727208
2025-04-20 0.093383 0.136714 0.197325 0.288482 0.422538 0.613154 0.906114
2025-04-27 0.083262 0.128136 0.194097 0.298393 0.459829 0.701362 1.092403
2025-05-04 0.074942 0.120585 0.190717 0.306685 0.494610 0.788895 1.288127
2025-05-11 0.066887 0.112070 0.184349 0.308839 0.519182 0.862566 1.470493
2025-05-18 0.059280 0.103099 0.175847 0.305947 0.534420 0.922022 1.635893
2025-05-25 0.051817 0.093295 0.164573 0.296585 0.536898 0.959463 1.766960
2025-06-01 0.048149 0.089599 0.163210 0.304170 0.569731 1.052955 2.009527
2025-06-08 0.044019 0.084502 0.158657 0.305206 0.590388 1.126386 2.223447
2025-06-15 0.041051 0.081180 0.156897 0.311112 0.620671 1.220804 2.489106
2025-06-22 0.036899 0.075147 0.149461 0.305412 0.628238 1.273648 2.681736
2025-06-29 0.033536 0.070286 0.143761 0.302522 0.641202 1.338997 2.909561
2025-07-06 0.030920 0.066620 0.139991 0.303054 0.661158 1.420738 3.182647
2025-07-13 0.029782 0.065925 0.142238 0.316581 0.710508 1.570222 3.624246
2025-07-20 0.028488 0.064724 0.143246 0.327470 0.755307 1.715069 4.074592
2025-07-27 0.027148 0.063250 0.143470 0.336581 0.797127 1.858155 4.539875
2025-08-03 0.025421 0.060675 0.140924 0.338948 0.823444 1.968665 4.941533
2025-08-10 0.023477 0.057355 0.136288 0.335771 0.836032 2.048187 5.277093
2025-08-17 0.021273 0.053148 0.129093 0.325484 0.829840 2.081442 5.499453
2025-08-24 0.020391 0.052100 0.129362 0.333819 0.871562 2.238391 6.065633
2025-08-31 0.019169 0.050047 0.126929 0.334956 0.894834 2.351252 6.529162